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ElonSpam

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?−$358Yes · avg 50¢ → 34¢ · $743

Open bets: who else is there

Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.

None of its 1 open bets has a proven or losing wallet on either side yet.

Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$200.5k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$74.4k
Last 30 days −$3,871 · $82.77M volume · 77,427 trades · since Dec 01, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$4.99M
Open P&L · 7 positions
−$18.3k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
692d
4179 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $12.9k100% 12h agopending
Nuggets vs. TimberwolvesLOW BUY Nuggets @ 70¢ $10.6k70% 176d agoexcluded
Nuggets vs. TimberwolvesLOW BUY Timberwolves @ 92¢ $35.2k92% 183d agoexcluded
Trail Blazers vs. SpursLOW SELL Spurs @ 92.7¢ $12.1k7% 187d agoexcluded
Trail Blazers vs. SpursLOW BUY Spurs @ 87¢ $21.4k87% 187d agoexcluded
Rockets vs. LakersMED BUY Lakers @ 94.4¢ $31.5k94% 188d agoexcluded
Hornets vs. MagicLOW BUY Magic @ 98¢ $19.7k98% 189d agoexcluded
Nuggets vs. SpursMED SELL Nuggets @ 93.3¢ $27.1k7% 194d agoexcluded
Celtics vs. BucksLOW BUY Celtics @ 92¢ $10.4k92% 235d agoexcluded
76ers vs. PacersLOW BUY 76ers @ 99.9¢ $19.6k100% 241d agoexcluded

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