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What this means. The price of Yes moved -16.5 pts in 24 hours on heavy volume. Something changed; check the news before reading anything into it. Information, not advice. How to use this →
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?pending
-16.5 pts
Yes 22¢ → 5.5¢ in 24h
24h move -16.5 pts24h vol ≥ $100kOther

What happened

Yes moved -16.5 pts in 24 hours on $311.8k of volume. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
24h move 16 pts+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
5.5¢
Implied odds
94.5%
Size
$311.8k
Placed
Oct 23, 20:01 EDT
Market close
Oct 23, 16:00 EDT
Result
not settled yet
Counts toward score
no

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?MED Yes DOWN -17.0 pts $306.5k
24h vol
95% —1d agopending