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What this means. A wallet put $14.2k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 89% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-8.7 pts over 21 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?pending
$14.2k
BUY Yes @ 89¢ · 16,034 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet mr.ozi took Yes (buy) for $14.2k at an average 89¢. At that price the market implied a 89% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $14.2k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 89¢ means
89%chance the market gave
−793American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
89¢
Implied odds
88.8%
Size
$14.2k
Placed
Oct 23, 14:03 EDT
Market close
Oct 24, 23:59 EDT
Result
not settled yet
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
mr.ozi
Tx
0x32abd167…
This wallet's graded record
11/21-8.7 pts
expected 12.8 from price

Price since this bet

Since entry +8.8 pts
Yes price · entry 89¢ · now 97.6¢
83¢90¢97¢ Whale entry 89¢ · $14.2k WHALE $14.2K @ 89¢ +9 PTS
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?LOW SELL Yes @ 92¢ $11.3k8% Bingobingobingo17h agopending
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?MED Yes UP +15.5 pts $49.4k whale money behind it $473.7k
24h vol
91% —1d agopending
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?LOW BUY Yes @ 87¢ $10.7k87% Bingobingobingo2d agopending
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?LOW BUY Yes @ 76¢ $20.2k76% dromedaryy2d agopending
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?LOW BUY Yes @ 75¢ $18.5k75% betwick2d agopending