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What this means. A wallet put $19.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 95% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?pending
$19.6k
BUY No @ 95.4¢ · 20,524 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet afdafdafdafdafd took No (buy) for $19.6k at an average 95.4¢. At that price the market implied a 95% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $19.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 95¢ means
95%chance the market gave
−2078American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
95.4¢
Implied odds
95.4%
Size
$19.6k
Placed
Oct 24, 00:28 EDT
Market close
Dec 31, 23:59 EST
Result
not settled yet
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
afdafdafdafdafd
Tx
0x7433e346…
This wallet's graded record
8/9-3.1 pts
expected 8.3 from price

Price since this bet

Since entry -0.4 pts
No price · entry 95.4¢ · now 95¢
91¢95¢98¢ Whale entry 95.4¢ · $19.6k WHALE $19.6K @ 95.4¢ -0 PTS
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.