← Live flags
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Resolved: No
Flags
45
Net whale flow → Yes
+$52.0k
Yes 7d ago → now
—
Category
Politics
Live on this marketconnecting…
Loading the latest $10k+ trades from Polymarket…
Straight from Polymarket's public trade feed, refreshed every 10s while this tab is open. Grades appear after markets resolve. Information, not advice.
Who's on each side
Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.
| Side | All whales | Proven | Losing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Not No | $446.9k 25 flags |
none | none |
| No | $397.8k 18 flags |
none | none |
| Yes | $15.0k 1 flag |
none | none |
| Not Yes | $12.0k 1 flag |
none | none |
No rated wallets have traded here yet, so the whale money is unrated. Information, not advice.
Flags on this market
| Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.5k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $24.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $18.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $24.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $13.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $41.2k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $15.2k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $21.3k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.2¢ | $12.7k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.6¢ | $15.6k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.9¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $39.6k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ | $48.7k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.3¢ | $28.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $40.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ | $29.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.3¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.3¢ | $14.2k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.3¢ | $13.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.3¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.9¢ | $21.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 91¢ | $16.4k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 87¢ | $20.0k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 79¢ | $19.8k | missed |
| MED SELL No @ 81¢ | $25.3k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 92¢ | $11.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 93.2¢ | $30.0k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 88¢ | $11.4k | missed |
| MED SELL No @ 77¢ | $40.6k 2.0× usual |
missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 86¢ | $11.9k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 71¢ | $14.3k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 69¢ | $15.0k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 74¢ | $11.2k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 73¢ | $14.1k | missed |
| MED SELL No @ 83¢ | $15.0k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 85¢ | $13.8k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 73¢ | $17.7k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 59¢ | $19.6k | missed |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 39¢ | $12.0k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 53¢ | $16.4k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 53¢ | $17.6k | called |
Summary
WhaleGrader has logged 45 whale trades on this market totalling $871.8k from 24 wallets. The largest was $48.7k (buy No at 98.5¢). Most whale money ($446.9k) went against No. 19 of 45 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, Dafu0715 ($163.2k), has called 0 of 2 graded flags overall (-4.2 pts vs price).
Market data from Polymarket (will-rafael-lpez-aliaga-win-the-2026-peruvian-presidential-election).