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What this means. A wallet put $11.4k on not No, at a price that gave it a 12% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.4k
SELL No @ 88¢ · 13,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Politics
What happened
Wallet snols took No (sell) for $11.4k at an average 88¢. At that price the market implied a 12% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.4k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 88¢
- Implied odds
- 12.0%
- Size
- $11.4k
- Placed
- Apr 15, 01:15 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 06, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- snols
- Tx
- 0x1d4eaf1b…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-34.0 pts
expected 0.3 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.5k | excluded |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $24.9k | excluded |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $18.4k | excluded |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $24.9k | excluded |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $13.2k | excluded |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $12.8k | excluded |