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What this means. A wallet put $18.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?excluded
$18.4k
BUY No @ 99.8¢ · 18,432 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Politics

What happened

Wallet 0x6fec…3be3 took No (buy) for $18.4k at an average 99.8¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $18.4k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99.8¢
Implied odds
99.8%
Size
$18.4k
Placed
Jun 30, 03:49 EDT
Market close
Jun 06, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0x6fec…3be3
Tx
0x094e9ade…

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $15.5k0% 0x4488…e319115d agoexcluded
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $24.9k0% perroperro115d agoexcluded
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $24.9k100% perroperro118d agoexcluded
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ $13.2k0% Writeoff120d agoexcluded
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $12.8k100% Writeoff129d agoexcluded
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $41.2k
2.0× usual
0% gopfan2133d agoexcluded