0x6fec…3be3

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$4.76M

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$18.6k

Last 30 days +$0 · $14.82M volume · 1,021 trades · since Apr 22, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$19.1k

Open P&L · 2 positions

−$449

Closed-position win rate

88%

57 closed

Wallet age · markets

185d

53 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢	$14.0k	100%	115d ago	excluded
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.6¢	$14.4k	100%	116d ago	excluded
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$18.4k	100%	116d ago	excluded
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.5¢	$12.1k	100%	116d ago	excluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$366.0k	100%	129d ago	excluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.5¢	$310.0k	99%	129d ago	excluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$1.03M 3.2× usual	100%	144d ago	excluded
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$338.1k	100%	156d ago	excluded
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$143.5k	100%	156d ago	excluded
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$986.0k 3.0× usual	100%	165d ago	excluded
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢	$1.02M 3.2× usual	100%	174d ago	excluded
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$499.5k	100%	185d ago	excluded

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.8¢$14.0k

LOW 0x6fec…3be3 · 115d ago

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.6¢$14.4k

LOW 0x6fec…3be3 · 116d ago

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$18.4k

LOW 0x6fec…3be3 · 116d ago

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.5¢$12.1k

LOW 0x6fec…3be3 · 116d ago

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$366.0k

LOW 0x6fec…3be3 · 129d ago

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.5¢$310.0k

LOW 0x6fec…3be3 · 129d ago

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$1.03M

LOW 0x6fec…3be3 · 144d ago

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$338.1k

LOW 0x6fec…3be3 · 156d ago

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$143.5k

LOW 0x6fec…3be3 · 156d ago

Epstein suicide note released by May 8?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$986.0k

LOW 0x6fec…3be3 · 165d ago

QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.8¢$1.02M

LOW 0x6fec…3be3 · 174d ago

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$499.5k

LOW 0x6fec…3be3 · 185d ago

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