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Writeoff

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$26.0k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$402
Last 30 days −$16 · $2.39M volume · 11,689 trades · since May 06, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$58.6k
Open P&L · 4 positions
−$61
Closed-position win rate
98%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
171d
650 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ $13.2k0% 120d agoexcluded
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $12.8k100% 129d agoexcluded

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x31abc8…