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What this means. A wallet put $29.7k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$29.7k
BUY No @ 98.5¢ · 30,158 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Politics
What happened
Wallet Dafu0715 took No (buy) for $29.7k at an average 98.5¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $29.7k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−6561American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98.5¢
- Implied odds
- 98.5%
- Size
- $29.7k
- Placed
- May 12, 21:35 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 06, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Dafu0715
- Tx
- 0xf2804fa5…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-4.2 pts
expected 0.1 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.5k | excluded |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $24.9k | excluded |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $18.4k | excluded |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $24.9k | excluded |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $13.2k | excluded |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $12.8k | excluded |