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What this means. A wallet put $13.8k on not No, at a price that gave it a 15% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 14 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.8k
SELL No @ 85¢ · 16,260 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Politics
What happened
Wallet jocpolitic took No (sell) for $13.8k at an average 85¢. At that price the market implied a 15% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.8k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 85¢
- Implied odds
- 15.2%
- Size
- $13.8k
- Placed
- Apr 10, 20:36 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 06, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- jocpolitic
- Tx
- 0xbb230f1e…
This wallet's graded record
10/14-0.4 pts
expected 10.1 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.5k | excluded |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $24.9k | excluded |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $18.4k | excluded |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $24.9k | excluded |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $13.2k | excluded |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $12.8k | excluded |