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Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Resolved: No
Flags
30
Net whale flow → outcome 1
−$520.6k
Price 7d ago → now
—
Category
Other
Live on this marketconnecting…
Loading the latest $10k+ trades from Polymarket…
Straight from Polymarket's public trade feed, refreshed every 10s while this tab is open. Grades appear after markets resolve. Information, not advice.

Who's on each side

Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.

SideAll whalesProvenLosing
No$644.7k
23 flags
none none
Not No$124.1k
7 flags
none none

No rated wallets have traded here yet, so the whale money is unrated. Information, not advice.

Flags on this market

FlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $10.6k0% Aq4ExePrd22Jn84d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $40.2k100% scout84d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $16.5k0% Seutervoinen85d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $49.0k100% Qtyu85d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $113.9k
3.3× usual
100% Alder85d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $77.8k100% Qtyu86d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $11.0k0% endlesssss86d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $15.0k100% thoodr86d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $10.1k100% makinta87d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $10.2k0% Valen987d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $38.9k100% gatou88d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $60.7k100% makinta88d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ $10.9k99% SplendidAmadeus89d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 98.2¢ $23.5k98% thoodr90d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 98¢ $20.2k98% pilimili91d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 96.8¢ $14.2k97% geowatch92d agocalled
LOW SELL No @ 97.4¢ $36.0k3% Dafu071592d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 98.4¢ $12.0k98% refzer94d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 98.3¢ $13.1k2% SlenderMan94d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 96.2¢ $11.5k96% thoodr97d agocalled
MED SELL No @ 95.9¢ $26.8k4% MrNoItAll97d agomissed
LOW BUY No @ 97.8¢ $14.0k98% jbr99d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 97.4¢ $11.8k97% StudentMoney100d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 97.1¢ $10.6k97% thoodr102d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 97.2¢ $23.1k97% SlenderMan103d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 98.3¢ $25.1k98% shibagege116d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 98¢ $14.0k98% MrNoItAll117d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 98¢ $10.6k98% TylerTurden117d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 98¢ $26.4k98% stupid22121d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 97.9¢ $11.2k98% stupid22121d agoexcluded

Summary

WhaleGrader has logged 30 whale trades on this market totalling $768.9k from 22 wallets. The largest was $113.9k (buy No at 99.9¢). Most whale money ($644.7k) went to No. 23 of 30 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, Qtyu ($126.8k), has called 4 of 5 graded flags overall (+2.2 pts vs price).

Market data from Polymarket (kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-july-31).