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What this means. A wallet put $11.0k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?excluded
$11.0k
SELL No @ 99.7¢ · 11,022 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet endlesssss took No (sell) for $11.0k at an average 99.7¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $11.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.7¢
Implied odds
0.3%
Size
$11.0k
Placed
Jul 29, 12:01 EDT
Market close
Jul 31, 23:59 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
endlesssss
Tx
0x40d41f21…
This wallet's graded record
0/3-6.2 pts
expected 0.2 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -0 pts
No price · entry 99.7¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.7¢ · $11.0k WHALE $11.0K @ 99.7¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $10.6k0% Aq4ExePrd22Jn84d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $40.2k100% scout84d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $16.5k0% Seutervoinen85d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $49.0k100% Qtyu85d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $113.9k
3.3× usual
100% Alder86d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $77.8k100% Qtyu86d agoexcluded