← Wallets
−$769No · avg 85¢ → 80¢ · $10.3k+$19Yes · avg 96.9¢ → 97.3¢ · $4,731+$505Yes · avg 52¢ → 65¢ · $2,600
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +6.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+6.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$106.0k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±23.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$130.8k
Last 30 days −$13.9k · $9.05M volume · 11,291 trades · since Nov 10, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$289.3k
Open P&L · 35 positions
−$49.6k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
348d
1887 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +6.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
 Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 97.9¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 77¢ | $13.9k | missed |
 Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Argentina @ 94¢ | $16.4k | called |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $10.6k | called |
 Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $23.3k | excluded |
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