← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $36.0k on not No, at a price that gave it a 3% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$36.0k
SELL No @ 97.4¢ · 36,991 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet Dafu0715 took No (sell) for $36.0k at an average 97.4¢. At that price the market implied a 3% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $36.0k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 97.4¢
- Implied odds
- 2.6%
- Size
- $36.0k
- Placed
- Jul 23, 10:30 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 31, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Dafu0715
- Tx
- 0x7417dfc1…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-4.2 pts
expected 0.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -3 ptsNo price · entry 97.4¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $40.2k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $16.5k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $49.0k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $113.9k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $77.8k | excluded |