← Wallets
+$135No · avg 93.3¢ → 97.5¢ · $3,135+$175No · avg 87¢ → 93.5¢ · $2,675+$140Yes · avg 92¢ → 98.5¢ · $2,140+$207No · avg 80¢ → 95.7¢ · $1,247+$187No · avg 72¢ → 86¢ · $1,187−$70No · avg 97.6¢ → 92.1¢ · $1,180+$45No · avg 92.4¢ → 96.6¢ · $1,045+$21No · avg 83¢ → 85¢ · $1,021
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did +3.2 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+3.2 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$14.2k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±17.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$5,608
Last 30 days +$850 · $215.1k volume · 448 trades · since Mar 04, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$7,382
Open P&L · 104 positions
−$1,798
Closed-position win rate
87%
202 closed
Wallet age · markets
234d
298 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | +3.2 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | LOW BUY No @ 96.8¢ | $14.2k | called |
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