← Live flags
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?
Yes
14¢
No
86¢
Volume
$60.3k
No $10k+ trade on this market has been flagged yet, so there are no graded flags here. You can still see who holds each side, and big trades as they happen.
Related news
Same names, last 7 daysEthiopia acquires Russian fighter jets and air defence systems amid war in TigrayBBC News · 1h agoEthiopia and Strategic Openings in the Emerging Red Sea Order - horn reviewGoogle News · Google News · 3h agoWhy Ethiopia Is Now Flying Russian Fighter JetsThe National Interest · Google News · 12h ago60 Orthodox Christians Killed in EthiopiaInternational Christian Concern · Google News · 14h ago
Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules
Biggest holders right now
Top current positions on each side from Polymarket, with our track record for each wallet. Proven = beat the price over 20+ graded $10k+ bets; losing = clearly lost to it. Untagged = no graded record with us.
Yes 14¢no rated wallets
- outcomes$104
- blackmamba11$56
- NoSteinNoGate$49
- Haradwaith$30
- MtnMark$27
- Bunnybop$25
- cigarettes$24
- rocky42003$14
- pootytherewardfarmer$14
- 0x1933…b444$14
- xtxpleasecallme$12
- balthazar$11
No 86¢no rated wallets
- geowatch$1,201
- ArmageddonRewardsBilly$531
- Wowiwow$404
- Inchoroi$346
- MrMelonHead$155
- Idapro555$95
- big-bird1$32
- televisionloud$23
- PRG10$18
- Elias.Thornwell$14
- aaadda$9
- ddd333aaa$6
Value = shares × current price. Refreshed every minute. Holding a side isn't a recommendation. Information, not advice.
Live on this marketconnecting…
Loading the latest $10k+ trades from Polymarket…
Straight from Polymarket's public trade feed, refreshed every 10s while this tab is open. Grades appear after markets resolve. Information, not advice.