← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $25.1k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$25.1k
BUY No @ 98.3¢ · 25,512 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet shibagege took No (buy) for $25.1k at an average 98.3¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $25.1k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−5782American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98.3¢
- Implied odds
- 98.3%
- Size
- $25.1k
- Placed
- Jun 29, 16:13 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 31, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- shibagege
- Tx
- 0x6418bdd0…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-7.5 pts
expected 0.1 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $40.2k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $16.5k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $49.0k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $113.9k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $77.8k | excluded |