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Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

OpenAwaiting resolution?Alert me on this market
Flags
17
Net whale flow → Yes
−$432.2k
Yes 7d ago → now
30¢→99.2¢
Category
Politics

Yes price

Drag to scrub · tap a dot for the trade · ● called ● missed ● open ● excluded · times ET · what these mean
Live on this marketconnecting…
Loading the latest $10k+ trades from Polymarket…
Straight from Polymarket's public trade feed, refreshed every 10s while this tab is open. Grades appear after markets resolve. Information, not advice.

Biggest holders right now

Top current positions on each side from Polymarket, with our track record for each wallet. Proven = beat the price over 20+ graded $10k+ bets; losing = clearly lost to it. Untagged = no graded record with us.

Yes 99.2¢no rated wallets
  1. Car$242.3k
  2. Mrscorpion$191.5k
  3. elipipo$162.8k
  4. tsekinming01$154.2k
  5. mr.ozi$109.0k
  6. DonaldinhoTrumpito$99.2k
  7. AgricultureSecretary$95.7k
  8. Tigerofthehood$89.2k
  9. 0x6bab…0fe5$76.9k
  10. 0xff1e…5e2d$73.1k
  11. 0x1f4e…49c8$71.0k
  12. classified$65.7k
No 0.9¢no rated wallets
  1. 0xa5ef…2966$12.1k
  2. dromedaryy$4,106
  3. MemeKing20$2,242
  4. wan123$746
  5. tetrose$704
  6. ethBELIVER$629
  7. flawfence$492
  8. WordleAddict$474
  9. SaylorMoon$382
  10. Contestable-Parfait$375
  11. Dropper$321
  12. lissartter$315

Value = shares × current price. Refreshed every minute. Holding a side isn't a recommendation. Information, not advice.

Who's on each side

Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.

SideAll whalesProvenLosing
Not Yes$635.3k
14 flags
none none
Yes$203.2k
3 flags
none none

No rated wallets have traded here yet, so the whale money is unrated. Information, not advice.

Flags on this market

FlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
LOW SELL Yes @ 98.9¢ $13.5k1% 0x28ec…66fc54m agoOpenAwaiting resolution
LOW SELL Yes @ 99.1¢ $10.7k1% 0xb0dc…8e48 NEW1h agoOpenAwaiting resolution
LOW SELL Yes @ 99.3¢ $21.8k1% Tenebrus72h agoOpenAwaiting resolution
LOW SELL Yes @ 99.4¢ $104.9k1% HolyMoses72h agoOpenAwaiting resolution
LOW BUY Yes @ 99.6¢ $43.3k100% 0xff1e…5e2d10h agoOpenAwaiting resolution
MED SELL Yes @ 98.8¢ $126.7k1% bigbeliever NEW11h agoOpenAwaiting resolution
LOW SELL Yes @ 99.5¢ $66.5k1% 0x274c…da8611h agoOpenAwaiting resolution
LOW SELL Yes @ 99.6¢ $15.4k0% 0x1106…4ecf NEW11h agoOpenAwaiting resolution
LOW SELL Yes @ 99.6¢ $10.9k0% Elimel77012h agoOpenAwaiting resolution
LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ $77.5k100% Car13h agoOpenAwaiting resolution
MED SELL Yes @ 99¢ $74.3k1% Luigi3333 NEW16h agoOpenAwaiting resolution
MED SELL Yes @ 99¢ $42.5k1% Sinbeti NEW17h agoOpenAwaiting resolution
LOW BUY Yes @ 99.4¢ $82.4k99% HolyMoses718h agoOpenAwaiting resolution
LOW SELL Yes @ 97.8¢ $68.8k2% qronnie1221h agoOpenAwaiting resolution
LOW SELL Yes @ 98.9¢ $11.1k1% cryptocpt NEW21h agoOpenAwaiting resolution
MED SELL Yes @ 98¢ $53.2k2% Ido85 NEW22h agoOpenAwaiting resolution
LOW SELL Yes @ 98.4¢ $14.8k2% 0xbd35…c6601d agoOpenAwaiting resolution

Summary

WhaleGrader has logged 17 whale trades on this market totalling $838.5k from 16 wallets. The largest was $126.7k (sell Yes at 98.8¢). Most whale money ($635.3k) went against Yes. The market has not resolved yet, so no flags here are graded. The biggest whale here, HolyMoses7 ($187.3k), has no graded flags yet.

Market data from Polymarket (will-likud-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-israeli-legislative-election).