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HolyMoses7

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$781.6k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$184.2k
Last 30 days +$13.3k · $23.30M volume · 68,463 trades · since Dec 04, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 450 closed
+$875.4k
Open P&L · 303 positions
+$5,581
Closed-position win rate
100%
450 closed
Wallet age · markets
689d
3923 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $33.3k0% 129d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $11.1k100% 129d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $175.8k
2.6× usual
100% 129d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $66.5k0% 176d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $149.7k
2.3× usual
100% 177d agoexcluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $149.8k
2.3× usual
100% 199d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $11.1k100% 234d agoexcluded
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $69.6k0% 262d agoexcluded
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $20.0k100% 263d agoexcluded
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $20.0k100% 353d agoexcluded
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.4¢ $74.6k99% 356d agoexcluded

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