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Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?

Alert me on this market
Yes
20¢
No
80¢
Volume
$564.1k

No $10k+ trade on this market has been flagged yet, so there are no graded flags here. You can still see who holds each side, and big trades as they happen.

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Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

Biggest holders right now

Top current positions on each side from Polymarket, with our track record for each wallet. Proven = beat the price over 20+ graded $10k+ bets; losing = clearly lost to it. Untagged = no graded record with us.

Yes 20¢no rated wallets
  1. Roflan-ludoman$4,947
  2. 0x0bc0…0f2a$3,395
  3. truthteller$2,304
  4. drde$2,050
  5. art369864$1,665
  6. Hyperlong$1,522
  7. cigarettes$1,430
  8. resfeber$1,348
  9. notssf3$1,272
  10. 0x2a5f…6c92$967
  11. MEPP$893
  12. 0x71e1…45f0$750
No 80¢no rated wallets
  1. 0xa5ef…2966$54.5k
  2. TheReturnOfDarthMaul$38.2k
  3. forgetfuldory$6,441
  4. 456ythgbvcadscvb$3,332
  5. HolyMoses7$3,325
  6. UntitledUser1$1,428
  7. lissartter$1,286
  8. babyshark.$795
  9. cmnd7w$795
  10. Poopyface$772
  11. S55$659
  12. iraa3$636

Value = shares × current price. Refreshed every minute. Holding a side isn't a recommendation. Information, not advice.

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Straight from Polymarket's public trade feed, refreshed every 10s while this tab is open. Grades appear after markets resolve. Information, not advice.