Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Who's on each side
Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.
| Side | All whales | Proven | Losing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | $709.6k 17 flags |
none | none |
| Not Yes | $484.5k 14 flags |
$35.9k 1 wallet |
none |
| No | $118.8k 4 flags |
none | none |
A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.
Flags on this market
| Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|
| MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $98.5k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $49.5k 3.6× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $39.7k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $17.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.2k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $87.3k 5.8× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $34.1k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.3k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $33.0k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $24.3k | excluded |
| MED SELL Yes @ 95.2¢ | $25.4k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 95.9¢ | $12.9k | called |
| MED SELL Yes @ 91.9¢ | $11.5k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 96¢ | $11.3k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 7¢ | $10.7k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $140.7k 4.6× usual |
called |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 78¢ | $282.7k 6.6× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 81¢ | $12.9k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 24¢ | $72.7k 2.0× usual |
missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 71¢ | $27.1k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 63¢ | $22.2k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 61¢ | $12.3k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 49¢ | $12.6k | missed |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 29¢ | $14.8k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 36¢ | $10.4k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 48¢ | $22.8k | missed |
| MED SELL Yes @ 70¢ | $35.9k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 72¢ | $35.0k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 71¢ | $12.4k | called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 71¢ | $12.0k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 70¢ | $14.9k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 71¢ | $10.7k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 70¢ | $23.7k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 73¢ | $44.1k | called |
Summary
WhaleGrader has logged 35 whale trades on this market totalling $1.31M from 25 wallets. The largest was $282.7k (buy Yes at 78¢). Most whale money ($709.6k) went to Yes. 17 of 35 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, 0x2a2c…9bc1 ($293.1k), has called 16 of 18 graded flags overall (+21.1 pts vs price).
Market data from Polymarket (will-rory-mcilroy-win-the-2026-masters-tournament).