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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$146.5k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$2,629
Last 30 days +$0 · $2.88M volume · 91 trades · since Oct 08, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$9,074
Open P&L · 2 positions
−$17.5k
Closed-position win rate
37%
38 closed
Wallet age · markets
746d
44 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 17¢ | $16.4k | called |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 21¢ | $20.0k | missed |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 30¢ | $15.0k | missed |
 Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 3.7¢ | $17.9k | called |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 4.1¢ | $19.0k | missed |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 26¢ | $18.5k | called |
 Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $39.7k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xd581d5…