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What this means. A wallet put $19.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 4% chance. It lost. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$19.0k
BUY Yes @ 4.1¢ · 465,901 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet frenchbulldogs123 took Yes (buy) for $19.0k at an average 4.1¢. At that price the market implied a 4% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $19.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 4¢ means
4%chance the market gave
+2358American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 4.1¢
- Implied odds
- 4.1%
- As American odds
- +2358 no vig
- Size
- $19.0k
- Placed
- Jun 29, 23:55 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 09, 21:10 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- frenchbulldogs123
- Tx
- 0x911115e3…
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Entry to resolution
Grade -4 ptsYes price · entry 4.1¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $16.2k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $44.9k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ | $15.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢ | $61.8k 2.9× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢ | $34.8k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.9¢ | $65.7k | called |