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What this means. A wallet put $19.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 4% chance. It lost. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?missed
$19.0k
BUY Yes @ 4.1¢ · 465,901 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Sports

What happened

Wallet frenchbulldogs123 took Yes (buy) for $19.0k at an average 4.1¢. At that price the market implied a 4% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $19.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 4¢ means
4%chance the market gave
+2358American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
4.1¢
Implied odds
4.1%
As American odds
+2358 no vig
Size
$19.0k
Placed
Jun 29, 23:55 EDT
Market close
Jul 09, 21:10 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
frenchbulldogs123
Tx
0x911115e3…
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -4 pts
Yes price · entry 4.1¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 4.1¢ · $19.0k WHALE $19.0K @ 4.1¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $16.2k100% 0x9032…8717106d agoexcluded
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ $44.9k99% borntoolate.eth106d agoexcluded
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ $15.0k99% 0x4e8b…05bd106d agoexcluded
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢ $61.8k
2.9× usual
98% blkmont107d agoexcluded
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢ $34.8k97% 00XyXyzzyxzzqyej233j2j32107d agoexcluded
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 96.9¢ $65.7k97% TraderSDG107d agocalled