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What this means. A wallet put $14.8k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 71% chance. It lost. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$14.8k
SELL Yes @ 29¢ · 50,424 shares
Size ≥ $10kOther
What happened
Wallet 0x3ce8 took Yes (sell) for $14.8k at an average 29¢. At that price the market implied a 71% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $14.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 29¢
- Implied odds
- 70.7%
- Size
- $14.8k
- Placed
- Apr 12, 14:45 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 12, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x3ce8
- Tx
- 0x282a7cf7…
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Entry to resolution
Grade -71 ptsYes price · entry 29¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $98.5k | excluded |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $49.5k 3.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $39.7k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $17.9k | excluded |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.2k | excluded |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $87.3k 5.8× usual |
excluded |