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bambooo

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did +28.5 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?+$1,811No · avg 15¢ → 25¢ · $4,690
Price-adjusted edge
+28.5 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.7
Flagged volume
$35.0k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±45.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$62.7k
Last 30 days +$1,876 · $1.50M volume · 151 trades · since Jan 22, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
−$64.4k
Open P&L · 2 positions
+$1,806
Closed-position win rate
38%
55 closed
Wallet age · markets
640d
55 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Other110.7+28.5 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?LOW BUY Yes @ 72¢ $35.0k72% 196d agocalled

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xdb9bc4…