PeterSagan

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5+$29Over · avg 49¢ → 50¢ · $2,029 Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)−$60Nets · avg 60¢ → 58¢ · $1,940 Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)−$94Nets · avg 49¢ → 46¢ · $1,906 Djurgardens IF vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 3.5−$141Under · avg 51¢ → 46¢ · $1,459 Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5−$147Over · avg 49¢ → 44¢ · $1,453 Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino−$167Adrian Mannarino · avg 43¢ → 38¢ · $1,433 Nets vs. Cavaliers+$8Cavaliers · avg 81¢ → 82¢ · $1,230 Spread: Kansas State (-2.5)−$11Kansas State · avg 47¢ → 46¢ · $1,007

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$183.2k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$399.4k

Last 30 days −$113.6k · $29.47M volume · 70,296 trades · since Jan 26, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L · recent 500 closed

+$4.09M

Open P&L · 19 positions

−$4,438

Closed-position win rate

100%

500 closed

Wallet age · markets

271d

3541 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Janice Tjen vs Anna Kalinskaya	LOW SELL Anna Kalinskaya @ 99.9¢	$12.0k	0%	85d ago	excluded
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk	LOW SELL Marta Kostyuk @ 99.9¢	$20.7k	0%	144d ago	excluded
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	LOW SELL Sunrisers Hyderabad @ 99.9¢	$11.6k	0%	177d ago	excluded
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?	LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢	$15.0k	0%	188d ago	excluded
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$34.1k 2.0× usual	0%	194d ago	excluded
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?	LOW BUY No @ 53¢	$11.1k	53%	238d ago	excluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?	LOW BUY No @ 40¢	$16.8k	40%	243d ago	excluded
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21?	LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢	$36.9k 2.2× usual	0%	244d ago	excluded
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)	MED BUY Patriots @ 50¢	$25.0k	50%	257d ago	excluded

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Janice Tjen vs Anna Kalinskayaexcluded

SELL Anna Kalinskaya @ 99.9¢$12.0k

LOW PeterSagan · 85d ago

Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyukexcluded

SELL Marta Kostyuk @ 99.9¢$20.7k

LOW PeterSagan · 144d ago

Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabadexcluded

SELL Sunrisers Hyderabad @ 99.9¢$11.6k

LOW PeterSagan · 177d ago

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?excluded

SELL No @ 99.9¢$15.0k

LOW PeterSagan · 188d ago

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$34.1k

LOW PeterSagan · 194d ago

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?excluded

BUY No @ 53¢$11.1k

LOW PeterSagan · 238d ago

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?excluded

BUY No @ 40¢$16.8k

LOW PeterSagan · 243d ago

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21?excluded

SELL No @ 99.9¢$36.9k

LOW PeterSagan · 244d ago

Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)excluded

BUY Patriots @ 50¢$25.0k

MED PeterSagan · 257d ago

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