WhaleGrader Log inSign up
← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $11.1k on No, at a price that gave it a 53% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?excluded
$11.1k
BUY No @ 53¢ · 20,986 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet PeterSagan took No (buy) for $11.1k at an average 53¢. At that price the market implied a 53% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $11.1k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 53¢ means
53%chance the market gave
−113American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
53¢
Implied odds
53.0%
As American odds
−113 no vig
Size
$11.1k
Placed
Feb 27, 16:03 EST
Market close
Feb 27, 15:00 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
PeterSagan
Tx
0x5e9ff603…

Entry to resolution

Grade +47 pts
No price · entry 53¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 53¢ · $11.1k WHALE $11.1K @ 53¢
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $10.6k0% coinlaundry239d agoexcluded
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $34.7k100% SMCAOMCRL239d agoexcluded
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?LOW BUY No @ 55¢ $11.0k55% gmanas239d agoexcluded
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?LOW BUY Yes @ 51¢ $18.5k51% gmanas239d agoexcluded
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?HIGH BUY Yes @ 57¢ $1.07M
8.5× usual
57% graypillow239d agoexcluded
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?MED BUY No @ 44¢ $152.7k
2.9× usual
44% 432614799197239d agoexcluded