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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did +4.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+4.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$35.6k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±19.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$5,005
Last 30 days +$0 · $438.1k volume · 523 trades · since Feb 18, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$3,664
Open P&L · 2 positions
−$1,339
Closed-position win rate
59%
49 closed
Wallet age · markets
248d
48 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | +4.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Hawks vs. Knicks | LOW BUY Knicks @ 92.9¢ | $14.2k | excluded |
 Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | LOW BUY Yes @ 96¢ | $11.3k | called |
| Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines | LOW SELL Michigan Wolverines @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x25bf39…