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Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?

Resolved: No
Flags
50
Net whale flow → Yes
−$538.5k
Yes 7d ago → now
—
Category
Other
Live on this marketconnecting…
Loading the latest $10k+ trades from Polymarket…
Straight from Polymarket's public trade feed, refreshed every 10s while this tab is open. Grades appear after markets resolve. Information, not advice.

Who's on each side

Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.

SideAll whalesProvenLosing
No$838.6k
32 flags
$118.6k
3 wallets
$15.2k
1 wallet
Not No$315.1k
17 flags
$61.5k
2 wallets
none
Not Yes$15.0k
1 flag
none none

A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.

Flags on this market

FlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $21.6k0% akimbogod206d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $10.3k100% cripes3206d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ $15.2k100% SwissMiss LOSING207d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢ $20.0k99% rocks207d agoexcluded
MED SELL No @ 96.7¢ $13.3k3% ArmageddonRewardsBilly PROVEN208d agomissed
LOW BUY No @ 96¢ $17.3k96% jeffy33209d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 93¢ $17.1k93% yungstalin210d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 94¢ $12.7k94% 0xcbab…9a8a210d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 94¢ $18.5k94% akimbogod210d agocalled
LOW SELL No @ 93¢ $14.0k7% XueqinJiang210d agomissed
MED SELL No @ 94.1¢ $19.2k6% scottilicious PROVEN211d agomissed
LOW BUY No @ 96¢ $11.9k96% winnipeg211d agocalled
MED BUY No @ 92.7¢ $37.6k
2.1× usual
93% yungstalin211d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 92¢ $33.9k92% Wickier211d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 90¢ $18.2k90% ScottyNooo PROVEN211d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 89¢ $10.2k89% MisTKy PROVEN211d agocalled
LOW SELL No @ 93¢ $12.7k7% DaytonaOne212d agomissed
MED SELL No @ 93¢ $26.0k7% 0x3328…e6b8212d agomissed
LOW BUY No @ 93¢ $18.0k93% kingofthe5213d agocalled
MED BUY No @ 92.9¢ $124.6k93% kingofthe5213d agocalled
LOW SELL No @ 93¢ $11.1k7% Arbguy213d agomissed
LOW SELL No @ 93¢ $14.0k7% sbimbg213d agomissed
LOW SELL No @ 93¢ $18.9k7% XueqinJiang213d agomissed
LOW BUY No @ 93¢ $18.4k93% noone9801213d agocalled
MED BUY No @ 92.3¢ $101.8k92% kingofthe5213d agocalled
MED SELL No @ 92¢ $21.5k8% pakukudolphi214d agomissed
LOW SELL No @ 91¢ $19.5k9% Huludubu214d agomissed
LOW SELL No @ 93¢ $17.9k7% jocpolitic214d agomissed
LOW BUY No @ 91¢ $10.3k91% pakukudolphi214d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 89¢ $16.0k89% ScottyNooo PROVEN214d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 89¢ $17.3k89% 0x1997…2e36214d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 87¢ $29.9k87% jocpolitic215d agocalled
LOW SELL No @ 87¢ $11.2k13% Obamnna215d agomissed
LOW BUY No @ 87¢ $19.6k87% kingofthe5216d agocalled
MED SELL No @ 90¢ $29.4k10% Arbguy217d agomissed
LOW BUY No @ 91¢ $29.8k91% Arbguy217d agocalled
LOW SELL Yes @ 10¢ $15.0k90% Arbguy217d agocalled
MED BUY No @ 89¢ $34.5k89% Wickier217d agocalled
MED SELL No @ 90.1¢ $29.0k10% scottilicious PROVEN218d agomissed
LOW BUY No @ 90¢ $33.9k90% yungstalin218d agocalled
MED SELL No @ 88¢ $22.4k12% Messiah07218d agomissed
LOW BUY No @ 89¢ $22.7k89% Messiah07219d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 89¢ $12.5k89% 0x3328…e6b8221d agocalled
MED BUY No @ 87¢ $30.0k87% scottilicious PROVEN221d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 88¢ $21.9k88% MisTKy PROVEN223d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 87¢ $21.9k87% Messiah07223d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 87¢ $22.3k87% MisTKy PROVEN223d agocalled
LOW SELL No @ 86¢ $13.4k14% Jelle-99-Arc223d agomissed
LOW BUY No @ 85¢ $17.0k85% BTCGambler247223d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 85¢ $13.3k85% Jelle-99-Arc223d agocalled

Summary

WhaleGrader has logged 50 whale trades on this market totalling $1.17M from 28 wallets. The largest was $124.6k (buy No at 92.9¢). Most whale money ($838.6k) went to No. 33 of 50 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, kingofthe5 ($264.0k), has called 5 of 5 graded flags overall (+10.7 pts vs price).

Market data from Polymarket (kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-march-31).