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What this means. A wallet put $26.0k on not No, at a price that gave it a 7% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$26.0k
SELL No @ 93¢ · 27,966 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 0x3328…e6b8 took No (sell) for $26.0k at an average 93¢. At that price the market implied a 7% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $26.0k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 93¢
- Implied odds
- 7.0%
- Size
- $26.0k
- Placed
- Mar 25, 08:44 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 31, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x3328…e6b8
- Tx
- 0xdfef3637…
This wallet's graded record
3/4+7.9 pts
expected 2.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -7 ptsNo price · entry 93¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $21.6k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $15.2k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢ | $20.0k | excluded | |
| MED SELL No @ 96.7¢ | $13.3k | missed | |
| LOW BUY No @ 96¢ | $17.3k | called |