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What this means. A wallet put $26.0k on not No, at a price that gave it a 7% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?missed
$26.0k
SELL No @ 93¢ · 27,966 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet 0x3328…e6b8 took No (sell) for $26.0k at an average 93¢. At that price the market implied a 7% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $26.0k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
93¢
Implied odds
7.0%
Size
$26.0k
Placed
Mar 25, 08:44 EDT
Market close
Mar 31, 23:59 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0x3328…e6b8
Tx
0xdfef3637…
This wallet's graded record
3/4+7.9 pts
expected 2.7 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -7 pts
No price · entry 93¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 93¢ · $26.0k WHALE $26.0K @ 93¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $21.6k0% akimbogod206d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $10.3k100% cripes3206d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ $15.2k100% SwissMiss LOSING207d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢ $20.0k99% rocks208d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?MED SELL No @ 96.7¢ $13.3k3% ArmageddonRewardsBilly PROVEN208d agomissed
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 96¢ $17.3k96% jeffy33210d agocalled