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What this means. A wallet put $20.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$20.0k
BUY No @ 98.7¢ · 20,264 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet rocks took No (buy) for $20.0k at an average 98.7¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.0k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−7580American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98.7¢
- Implied odds
- 98.7%
- Size
- $20.0k
- Placed
- Mar 30, 06:17 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 31, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- rocks
- Tx
- 0x45cde26b…
This wallet's graded record
1/4-16.5 pts
expected 1.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +1 ptsNo price · entry 98.7¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $21.6k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $15.2k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | MED SELL No @ 96.7¢ | $13.3k | missed |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 96¢ | $17.3k | called |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 93¢ | $17.1k | called |