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What this means. A wallet put $22.7k on No, at a price that gave it a 89% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$22.7k
BUY No @ 89¢ · 25,491 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet Messiah07 took No (buy) for $22.7k at an average 89¢. At that price the market implied a 89% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $22.7k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 89¢ means
89%chance the market gave
−809American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 89¢
- Implied odds
- 89.0%
- Size
- $22.7k
- Placed
- Mar 18, 07:42 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 31, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Messiah07
- Tx
- 0x656e950e…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-88.8 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $21.6k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $15.2k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | MED SELL No @ 96.7¢ | $13.3k | missed |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 96¢ | $17.3k | called |