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What this means. A wallet put $21.5k on not No, at a price that gave it a 8% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$21.5k
SELL No @ 92¢ · 23,357 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet pakukudolphi took No (sell) for $21.5k at an average 92¢. At that price the market implied a 8% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $21.5k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 92¢
- Implied odds
- 8.0%
- Size
- $21.5k
- Placed
- Mar 24, 04:10 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 31, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- pakukudolphi
- Tx
- 0x62b0e1f5…
This wallet's graded record
2/4-28.5 pts
expected 3.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -8 ptsNo price · entry 92¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $21.6k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $15.2k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | MED SELL No @ 96.7¢ | $13.3k | missed |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 96¢ | $17.3k | called |