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What this means. A wallet put $14.0k on not No, at a price that gave it a 7% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 10 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$14.0k
SELL No @ 93¢ · 15,004 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet sbimbg took No (sell) for $14.0k at an average 93¢. At that price the market implied a 7% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $14.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 93¢
- Implied odds
- 7.0%
- Size
- $14.0k
- Placed
- Mar 24, 13:08 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 31, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- sbimbg
- Tx
- 0xaa5aeb9d…
This wallet's graded record
1/10-9.0 pts
expected 1.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -7 ptsNo price · entry 93¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $21.6k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $15.2k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | MED SELL No @ 96.7¢ | $13.3k | missed |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 96¢ | $17.3k | called |