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What this means. A wallet put $124.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 93% chance. It won. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$124.6k
BUY No @ 92.9¢ · 134,098 shares
Size ≥ $100kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet kingofthe5 took No (buy) for $124.6k at an average 92.9¢. At that price the market implied a 93% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $124.6k+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 93¢ means
93%chance the market gave
−1318American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 92.9¢
- Implied odds
- 92.9%
- Size
- $124.6k
- Placed
- Mar 24, 16:09 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 31, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- kingofthe5
- Tx
- 0x05ff7cce…
This wallet's graded record
5/5+10.7 pts
expected 4.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +7 ptsNo price · entry 92.9¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $21.6k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $15.2k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | MED SELL No @ 96.7¢ | $13.3k | missed |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 96¢ | $17.3k | called |