← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $19.2k on not No, at a price that gave it a 6% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+1.5 pts over 26 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$19.2k
SELL No @ 94.1¢ · 20,437 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletOther
What happened
Wallet scottilicious took No (sell) for $19.2k at an average 94.1¢. At that price the market implied a 6% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $19.2k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 94.1¢
- Implied odds
- 5.9%
- Size
- $19.2k
- Placed
- Mar 27, 01:12 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 31, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- scottilicious
- Tx
- 0x1bcf2bcb…
This wallet's graded record
23/26+1.5 pts
expected 22.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -6 ptsNo price · entry 94.1¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $21.6k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $15.2k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | MED SELL No @ 96.7¢ | $13.3k | missed |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 96¢ | $17.3k | called |