Daily recap
Wednesday, October 28, 2026
779 whale trades totalling $27.29M from 351 wallets. Biggest: $1.05M buy No on “Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?” at 99.7¢. 88 of 131 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 82.6 expected (+4.1 pts).
Whale trades
779
Volume
$27.29M
Wallets
351
Resolved edge
+4.1 pts
Biggest trades
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $1.05M | Excluded |
| Spread: Raptors (-4.5) | HIGH BUY Raptors @ 53¢ | $803.4k 4.0× usual |
Excluded |
| Wizards vs. Cavaliers | HIGH BUY Cavaliers @ 78¢ | $498.5k 2.5× usual |
Excluded |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | HIGH SELL No @ 92¢ | $462.6k 2.0× usual |
OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | MED BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $355.3k 6.8× usual |
OpenResolves Oct 31 |
| Warriors vs. Timberwolves | HIGH BUY Warriors @ 42¢ | $353.8k | Excluded |
| Spread: Hawks (-2.5) | HIGH BUY Hawks @ 51¢ | $325.0k | Excluded |
| Heat vs. Hawks | HIGH BUY Hawks @ 57¢ | $303.4k | Excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $299.4k 15.5× usual |
Excluded |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | HIGH BUY No @ 93¢ | $292.7k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-28? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 62¢ | $283.5k | Excluded |
| Heat vs. Hawks | LOW BUY Heat @ 99.9¢ | $280.8k 16.5× usual |
Excluded |
| Kennesaw State vs. Middle Tennessee | HIGH BUY Middle Tennessee @ 50¢ | $264.4k | Excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $255.3k | Excluded |
| LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 2 Winner | HIGH BUY T1 @ 78¢ | $240.6k 3.5× usual |
Excluded |
Most traded markets
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
$1.86M · 15 flags
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?$1.20M · 35 flags
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)$903.5k · 6 flags
Heat vs. Hawks$860.5k · 19 flags
Warriors vs. Timberwolves$845.1k · 14 flags
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage$759.5k · 23 flags
Resolved today
Called18h ago
Rockets vs. Bucks
BUYRockets@ 77¢→Rockets
$99.8k · jakepaulthegoat2008implied 77%
Missed14h ago
Lakers vs. Clippers
BUYClippers@ 50¢→Lakers
$97.6k · BreakTheBankimplied 50%
Missed17h ago
Nuggets vs. Pelicans
BUYPelicans@ 38¢→Nuggets
$85.8k · jakepaulthegoat2008implied 38%
Called17h ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
BUYYes@ 96.9¢→Yes
$84.9k · elmcap2implied 97%
Called18h ago
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)
BUYPacers@ 48¢→Pacers
$81.5k · 0x2c33…0563implied 48%
Called17h ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
BUYNo@ 96.6¢→No
$69.7k · timetowanderimplied 97%
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