2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

xrr67 bought No at 93¢. The price gave that side a 93% chance. 314,681 shares, 2 fills, Oct 28, 16:31 EDT.

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Plain exchange link. No referral code.

What this means. A wallet put $292.7k on No, at a price that gave it a 93% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →

[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet xrr67 bought No for $292.7k at an average 93¢. At that price the market implied 93% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

High. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $292.7k+3

2 fills within 1h+1

Size ≥ $250kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Politics

What 93¢ means

93%chance the market gave

−1329American odds

$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Price since the bet

Price since this bet

Since entry +0.5 pts

No price · entry 93¢ · now 93.5¢

Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.