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Polymarket · Other · one bet
OpenResolves Oct 31
$355.3k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
033033033 bought No at 99.8¢. The price gave that side a 100% chance. 356,000 shares, 4 fills, Oct 28, 21:03 EDT.
Plain exchange link. No referral code.
What this means. A wallet put $355.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet 033033033 bought No for $355.3k at an average 99.8¢. At that price the market implied 100% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.
[02] Flag
Why it was flagged
Med. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology
Size $355.3k+3
Near-certain price-2
4 fills within 1h+1
Size ≥ $250kHeavy favorite4 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)6.8× this wallet's usual betOther
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
[04] Price
Price since the bet
Price since this bet
Since entry +0.2 ptsNo price · entry 99.8¢ · now 100¢
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.6k | OpenResolves Oct 31 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $52.6k | OpenResolves Oct 31 |