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Polymarket · Sports · one bet

Excluded
$280.8k

Heat vs. Hawks

0x2c33…0563 bought Heat at 99.9¢. The price gave that side a 100% chance. 281,070 shares, Oct 28, 21:16 EDT.

What this means. A wallet put $280.8k on Heat, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market resolved Heat, and this bet is not graded. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet 0x2c33…0563 bought Heat for $280.8k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied 100% for the side they took. The market resolved Heat. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

This wallet is 2 of 4 on graded bets, +4.7 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $280.8k+3
Near-certain price-2
Size ≥ $250kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)16.7× this wallet's usual betSports
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if Heat wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Heat vs. HawksLOW SELL Heat @ 99.9¢ $24.4k
2.0× usual
0% 0x50be…371b16h agoExcluded
Heat vs. HawksLOW BUY Heat @ 91¢ $25.5k91% KaneAnalytics16h agoExcluded
Heat vs. HawksLOW SELL Heat @ 88¢ $11.0k12% Greedo16h agoExcluded
Heat vs. HawksMED SELL Heat @ 88¢ $11.0k12% AppleTiiime NEW16h agoExcluded
Heat vs. HawksLOW BUY Heat @ 89¢ $10.3k89% yoyoyoyoer16h agoExcluded
Heat vs. HawksLOW BUY Heat @ 88¢ $19.0k88% FlamePyro16h agoExcluded