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Polymarket · Economy · one bet

Excluded
$299.4k

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Malfunction. bought No at 99.8¢. The price gave that side a 100% chance. 300,000 shares, 2 fills, Oct 28, 13:57 EDT.

Alert on this wallet
What this means. A wallet put $299.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market resolved No, and this bet is not graded. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet Malfunction. bought No for $299.4k at an average 99.8¢. At that price the market implied 100% for the side they took. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It still counts toward the score.

This wallet is 1 of 1 on graded bets, +3.7 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Med. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $299.4k+3
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
Size ≥ $250kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1h15.5× this wallet's usual betEconomy
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Entry to resolution

Entry to resolution

Grade +0 pts
No price · entry 99.8¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.8¢ · $299.4k WHALE $299.4K @ 99.8¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days
Federal Reserve issues FOMC statementFederal Reserve · 18h agoFed holds interest rates steady even as inflation remains stubbornNPR · 18h ago

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $49.9k100% LlamaEnjoyer18h agoExcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $49.9k100% Anjun18h agoExcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $76.8k100% welcometowinnercircle18h agoExcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $49.9k100% wagwanshawty NEW19h agoExcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $12.0k100% nigiri9919h agoExcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $39.9k100% zb819h agoExcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$49.9k
LOW LlamaEnjoyer · 18h ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$49.9k
LOW Anjun · 18h ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$76.8k
LOW welcometowinnercircle · 18h ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Excluded
BUY No @ 99.7¢$49.9k
LOW New wallet wagwanshawty · 19h ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Excluded
BUY No @ 99.7¢$12.0k
LOW nigiri99 · 19h ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Excluded
BUY No @ 99.7¢$39.9k
LOW zb8 · 19h ago