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Polymarket · Economy · one bet
Excluded
$39.9k
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
zb8 bought No at 99.7¢. The price gave that side a 100% chance. 40,000 shares, Oct 28, 13:08 EDT.
What this means. A wallet put $39.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market resolved No, and this bet is not graded. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet zb8 bought No for $39.9k at an average 99.7¢. At that price the market implied 100% for the side they took. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It still counts toward the score.
This wallet is 1 of 1 on graded bets, +4.6 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.
[02] Flag
Why it was flagged
Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology
Size $39.9k+1
Near-certain price-2
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEconomy
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
[04] Price
Entry to resolution
Entry to resolution
Grade +0 ptsNo price · entry 99.7¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Related news
Same names, last 7 daysFederal Reserve issues FOMC statementFederal Reserve · 19h agoFed holds interest rates steady even as inflation remains stubbornNPR · 19h ago
Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $299.4k 15.5× usual |
Excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $49.9k | Excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $49.9k | Excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $76.8k | Excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $49.9k | Excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $12.0k | Excluded |