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Daily recap

Thursday, October 29, 2026

123 whale trades totalling $3.11M from 79 wallets. Biggest: $104.9k sell Yes on “Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?” at 99.4¢. 7 of 14 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 9.3 expected (-16.6 pts).

Whale trades
123
Volume
$3.11M
Wallets
79
Resolved edge
-16.6 pts

Biggest trades

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.4¢ $104.9k1% HolyMoses74h agoOpenAwaiting resolution
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ $102.6k99% scout4h agoOpenAwaiting resolution
Guangzhou Open: Jil Teichmann vs Zeynep SonmezMED BUY Zeynep Sonmez @ 61¢ $102.5k
3.8× usual
61% NS134h agoExcluded
LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - Worlds Group StageMED BUY Karmine Corp @ 81¢ $99.9k
2.9× usual
81% jakepaulthegoat20082h agoOpenStarts Thu 4:00p ET
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)LOW BUY Natus Vincere @ 58¢ $90.9k
2.2× usual
58% juice-fruit1h agoOpenGame ongoing
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest PlayoffsLOW SELL Nemiga @ 99.9¢ $87.9k0% liriks1h agoExcluded
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest PlayoffsMED BUY Natus Vincere @ 57¢ $86.2k
3.6× usual
57% omnibus-076daa29m agoOpenGame ongoing
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest PlayoffsLOW BUY FUT Esports @ 70¢ $74.9k
2.2× usual
70% yabanci6h agoMissed
Lakers vs. Clippers AND Pan Pacific Open: Alycia Parks vs Kimberly BirrellLOW SELL @ 99.3¢ $65.5k
2.7× usual
1% robustmst6h agoOpen
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest PlayoffsHIGH BUY Nemiga @ 31¢ $65.1k31% Mooseborzoiii NEW5h agoCalled
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest PlayoffsLOW BUY Vitality @ 72¢ $57.5k
2.2× usual
72% fantasy77881h agoOpenGame ongoing
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest PlayoffsLOW BUY FUT Esports @ 69¢ $54.0k
3.5× usual
69% norrisfan5h agoMissed
Guangzhou Open: Jil Teichmann vs Zeynep SonmezLOW SELL Jil Teichmann @ 99.9¢ $52.9k
2.1× usual
0% robustmst4h agoExcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $52.6k100% 03303303340m agoOpenResolves Oct 31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?LOW BUY No @ 82¢ $46.2k82% 0xad96…d4982h agoOpenResolves Dec 31

Sharpest odds moves

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Big Bash League, Women: Melbourne Stars vs Hobart HurricanesHIGH Melbourne Stars UP +52.5 pts $83.7k
24h vol
94% 17m agoOpenGame ongoing
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 26-November 1?HIGH Yes DOWN -48.0 pts $66.2k
24h vol
62% 47m agoOpenResolves Nov 2
Seoul: Alibek Kachmazov vs Seong-Chan HongHIGH Alibek Kachmazov DOWN -42.0 pts $92.2k
24h vol
82% 4h agoExcluded
Pan Pacific Open: Naomi Osaka vs Mia PohankovaHIGH Naomi Osaka DOWN -38.5 pts $26.8k whale money behind it $341.3k
24h vol
60% 4h agoExcluded
Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran SunHIGH Maria Timofeeva DOWN -35.5 pts $16.8k whale money behind it $261.3k
24h vol
72% 3h agoExcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?HIGH Yes DOWN -35.0 pts $81.1k
24h vol
80% 4h agoOpenResolves Nov 1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 29?HIGH Yes DOWN -34.2 pts $82.9k
24h vol
96% 2h agoOpenResolves Oct 29
Guangzhou Open: Anna Bondar vs Kaitlin QuevedoHIGH Anna Bondar DOWN -27.0 pts $239.8k
24h vol
76% 17m agoOpenGame ongoing
Ningbo: Yi Zhou vs Jake DelaneyMED Yi Zhou DOWN -23.1 pts $66.5k
24h vol
35% 1h agoExcluded
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?MED Yes UP +18.5 pts $74.5k
24h vol
80% 4h agoOpenResolves Oct 31
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