Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

scout bought No at 99.4¢. The price gave that side a 99% chance. 103,255 shares, Oct 29, 02:40 EDT.

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What this means. A wallet put $102.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →

[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet scout bought No for $102.6k at an average 99.4¢. At that price the market implied 99% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $102.6k+2

Near-certain price-2

Size ≥ $100kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Politics

What 99¢ means

99%chance the market gave

−16486American odds

$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Price since the bet

Price since this bet

Since entry -0.1 pts

No price · entry 99.4¢ · now 99.2¢

Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.