Tuesday, April 28, 2026

239 whale trades totalling $10.69M from 145 wallets. Biggest: $445.4k sell Yes on “Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?” at 99.7¢. 11 of 18 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 11.1 expected (-0.8 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	MED SELL Yes @ 99.7¢	$445.4k 8.7× usual	0%	JAHODA	178d ago	excluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	MED BUY No @ 99.6¢	$298.1k 12.9× usual	100%	GoriIIa PROVEN	178d ago	excluded
Bruins vs. Sabres	HIGH BUY Sabres @ 61¢	$297.9k	61%	0x4924…3782	178d ago	excluded
Will Trump dance today?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$259.1k	100%	0x7e6b…e3c5	179d ago	excluded
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢	$221.6k 10.3× usual	0%	Anjun	178d ago	excluded
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	LOW SELL No @ 98.5¢	$218.9k 3.0× usual	2%	bobe2.1	178d ago	excluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.7¢	$199.4k 3.9× usual	0%	JAHODA	178d ago	excluded
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	MED SELL No @ 96.8¢	$193.6k 3.7× usual	3%	0x5bff…ffbe	178d ago	missed	Trade this
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢	$177.6k 3.4× usual	100%	0x5bff…ffbe	178d ago	excluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢	$167.0k 5.6× usual	99%	Trump2028	178d ago	excluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	MED SELL No @ 99.6¢	$136.5k 5.6× usual	0%	The Spirit of Ukraine>UM	178d ago	excluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	MED BUY No @ 96.3¢	$134.0k 5.3× usual	96%	Tigerofthehood	178d ago	called	Trade this
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$131.4k	100%	bondor	179d ago	excluded
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$130.8k 3.4× usual	100%	scout	178d ago	excluded
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$127.8k 5.6× usual	100%	Trustinghorse	178d ago	excluded

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.7¢$445.4k

MED JAHODA · 178d ago

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?excluded

BUY No @ 99.6¢$298.1k

MED PROVEN GoriIIa · 178d ago

Bruins vs. Sabresexcluded

BUY Sabres @ 61¢$297.9k

HIGH 0x4924…3782 · 178d ago

Will Trump dance today?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$259.1k

LOW 0x7e6b…e3c5 · 179d ago

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?excluded

SELL No @ 99.7¢$221.6k

LOW Anjun · 178d ago

Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?excluded

SELL No @ 98.5¢$218.9k

LOW bobe2.1 · 178d ago

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.7¢$199.4k

LOW JAHODA · 178d ago

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?missed

SELL No @ 96.8¢$193.6k

MED 0x5bff…ffbe · 178d ago

Trade this

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.8¢$177.6k

LOW 0x5bff…ffbe · 178d ago

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.5¢$167.0k

LOW Trump2028 · 178d ago

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?excluded

SELL No @ 99.6¢$136.5k

MED The Spirit of Ukraine>UM · 178d ago

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?called

BUY No @ 96.3¢$134.0k

MED Tigerofthehood · 178d ago

Trade this

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$131.4k

LOW bondor · 179d ago

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$130.8k

LOW scout · 178d ago

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$127.8k

LOW Trustinghorse · 178d ago

Most traded markets

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

$1.36M · 22 flags

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

$995.8k · 10 flags

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

$830.5k · 16 flags

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$784.9k · 22 flags

Will Trump dance today?

$769.4k · 11 flags

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

$722.9k · 12 flags