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What this means. A wallet put $20.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 97% chance. It won. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$20.3k
BUY No @ 96.6¢ · 20,969 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet expectless took No (buy) for $20.3k at an average 96.6¢. At that price the market implied a 97% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.3k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 97¢ means
97%chance the market gave
−2816American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 96.6¢
- Implied odds
- 96.6%
- Size
- $20.3k
- Placed
- Jan 12, 14:46 EST
- Market close
- Apr 28, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- expectless
- Tx
- 0x7cd876a5…
This wallet's graded record
1/7-21.7 pts
expected 2.5 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $1.05M 3.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $999.0k 3.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $945.3k 20.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $952.3k 20.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $106.3k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $670.2k 16.1× usual |
excluded |