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What this means. A wallet put $999.0k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$999.0k
SELL No @ 99.9¢ · 1,000,000 shares
Size ≥ $250kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)3.6× this wallet's usual betEconomy
What happened
Wallet FedWillWin took No (sell) for $999.0k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $999.0k+3
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $999.0k
- Placed
- Apr 27, 00:45 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 28, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- FedWillWin
- Tx
- 0x8753029f…
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -0 ptsNo price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $1.05M 3.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $945.3k 20.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $952.3k 20.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $106.3k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $670.2k 16.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $266.9k 6.4× usual |
excluded |