← Live flags
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Resolved: No
Flags
111
Net whale flow → outcome 1
−$7.82M
Price 7d ago → now
—
Category
Economy
Live on this marketconnecting…
Loading the latest $10k+ trades from Polymarket…
Straight from Polymarket's public trade feed, refreshed every 10s while this tab is open. Grades appear after markets resolve. Information, not advice.
Who's on each side
Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.
| Side | All whales | Proven | Losing |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | $10.39M 82 flags |
none | none |
| Not No | $2.57M 29 flags |
none | none |
No rated wallets have traded here yet, so the whale money is unrated. Information, not advice.
Flags on this market
| Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|
| MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $1.05M 3.8× usual |
excluded |
| MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $999.0k 3.6× usual |
excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $945.3k 20.2× usual |
excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $952.3k 20.4× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $106.3k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $670.2k 16.1× usual |
excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $266.9k 6.4× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $15.3k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $51.3k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $189.9k 4.6× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $16.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $77.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $159.8k 3.8× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $47.5k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $67.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $517.4k 12.5× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $127.3k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $12.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $17.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $10.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $52.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $211.1k 5.1× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $60.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $23.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $245.3k 5.9× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $3.93M 14.3× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $21.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $60.3k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $43.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $29.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $107.6k 3.5× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $29.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $29.5k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $17.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $48.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $19.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $64.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $21.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $46.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $30.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $48.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $37.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $18.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $143.5k 3.5× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $21.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $21.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $21.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $21.5k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $21.5k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $49.8k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $28.5k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $24.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $49.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $26.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $28.5k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $18.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $33.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $14.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $18.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $14.1k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $14.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $14.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $14.5k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $14.5k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $14.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $14.6k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $14.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $14.1k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $14.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $14.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $14.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $14.2k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $29.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $29.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $14.5k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $14.5k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $23.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $14.5k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $23.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $14.6k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ | $15.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $15.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $15.4k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ | $15.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $15.2k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ | $15.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $15.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $19.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $14.9k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 99.2¢ | $101.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.1¢ | $12.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 97¢ | $24.8k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.6¢ | $20.3k | called |
Summary
WhaleGrader has logged 111 whale trades on this market totalling $12.96M from 42 wallets. The largest was $3.93M (buy No at 99.7¢). Most whale money ($10.39M) went to No. 82 of 111 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, FedWillWin ($5.98M), has no graded flags yet.
Market data from Polymarket (will-the-fed-decrease-interest-rates-by-50-bps-after-the-april-2026-meeting).