vfstt

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?−$0No · avg 97.9¢ → 97.8¢ · $38

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$28.4k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$30

Last 30 days +$0 · $36.5k volume · 76 trades · since Sep 08, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$30

Open P&L · 1 positions

−$0

Closed-position win rate

58%

36 closed

Wallet age · markets

776d

31 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢	$14.2k	0%	214d ago	excluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢	$14.2k	100%	214d ago	excluded

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 99.5¢$14.2k

LOW vfstt · 214d ago

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.6¢$14.2k

LOW vfstt · 214d ago

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